Sepsis (2024)

by Tina Samsamshariat, Ardeshir Kianercy, & Elizabeth DeVos

You Have A New Patient!

A 75-year-old female with a history of diabetes, hypertension, and tobacco use disorder is brought to the emergency department by her granddaughter due to increasing confusion. The patient was diagnosed with influenza two weeks ago by her primary care physician. Yesterday, she began to complain of a productive cough and shortness of breath. Her current medications include lisinopril, metoprolol, and metformin.

Upon examination, the patient is oriented only to herself. Her blood pressure is 94/48 mm Hg, heart rate is 128 beats per minute, respiratory rate is 30 breaths per minute, and her temperature is 39°C. Oxygen saturation is 88% on room air. The physical exam shows increased work of breathing, rales, and cool, clammy skin.

The image was produced by using ideogram 2.0.

What Do You Need To Know?

Importance

Sepsis is a critical medical condition that demands urgent attention due to its significant impact on patient outcomes and healthcare systems. Early detection and treatment of sepsis are crucial, as they can substantially reduce mortality rates, treatment delays, and improve appropriate care. In intensive care units (ICUs), sepsis poses a considerable challenge, with its management requiring substantial resources and expertise. Moreover, sepsis has far-reaching consequences beyond immediate patient care, affecting healthcare costs and long-term patient outcomes.

Epidemiology [1-3]

In 2017, there were an estimated 48.9 million incident cases of sepsis and 11 million sepsis-related deaths, accounting for approximately 20% of all global deaths. The global burden of sepsis is challenging to quantify, with low- and middle-income countries bearing the highest burden of cases and deaths. Sepsis can arise from infections in both community and healthcare settings, with diarrheal diseases and lower respiratory infections being the leading contributors to sepsis cases and mortality. Additionally, noncommunicable diseases and injuries significantly contribute to the sepsis burden. Despite these challenges, sepsis is treatable when identified and managed promptly. To address this, the World Health Organization has emphasized the importance of strengthening global efforts in the prevention, identification, diagnosis, and clinical management of sepsis.

Definitions

Term

Definition

 

Sepsis

Life-threatening organ dysfunction from dysregulated host response to infection

 

Organ Dysfunction

An acute change in the total Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score ≥2 points from baseline

 

Septic Shock

Sepsis with circulatory and metabolic abnormalities are profound enough to substantially increase mortality.

SIRS (systematic inflammatory response syndrome)

At least 2 of the following:

  • Heart rate > 90 beats/min
  • Respiratory rate > 20 cycles/min or PaCO2 <32 mm Hg
  • Temperature > 38°C or < 36°C
  • WBC > 12,000/mm3, < 6,000/mm3 or > 10% bandemia

qSOFA (adapted SOFA score tool to assess risk of poor outcome in sepsis):

At least 2 of the following indicates higher rate of mortality:

  • Respiratory rate ≥ 22/min
  • Altered mentation (GCS < 15)
  • Systolic blood pressure < 100 mm Hg

Pathophysiology [3-6]

Sepsis is a syndromic response to infection with biological, biochemical, and physiologic manifestations. The sepsis response exists on a spectrum ranging from infection to septic shock. The definition continues to evolve as the pathophysiology is better understood. The previous definitions of sepsis emphasized at least two of the four SIRS criteria (see Table above). Multiple inflammatory processes can cause SIRS and is not specific to sepsis. The SIRS criteria have been removed from the current definition of sepsis because they do not appropriately capture the life-threatening organ dysfunction critical to the pathophysiology. Thus, severe sepsis, previously defined as sepsis complicated by organ dysfunction, has also been removed because of redundancy.

The newest definition of sepsis goes beyond SIRS to account for the early activation of pro- and anti-inflammatory responses as well modifications in non-immune modulated pathways. Furthermore, it is recognized that the clinical and biological manifestations of sepsis are heterogeneous depending on age, comorbidities, sex, and source of infection. A higher SOFA score is associated with an increased probability of mortality. The quick SOFA or qSOFA has been adapted for rapid bedside assessment of patients with infection, prompting further workup for organ dysfunction. While a positive qSOFA should alert clinicians to possible sepsis, it is not recommended to be used as a single screening tool because of its poor sensitivity. Artificial intelligence (AI) systems alert clinicians to a patient’s risk of sepsis, which may improve patient outcomes compared to traditional methods in hospitals where AI is adopted. The role of machine learning in detecting sepsis continues to be an area of research.

Sepsis progresses to septic shock when a patient displays hypotension requiring vasopressors to maintain MAP ≥65 mm Hg and hyperlactatemia (lactate > 2 mmol/L [18 mg/dL]) after volume resuscitation. Hospital mortality exceeds 40% when septic shock criteria are met.

If patients are suspected to be septic, rapid source identification, assessment, and management of their clinical status is crucial to prevent acute deterioration and progression to septic shock and death.

Medical History [7,8]

Recognizing risk factors for sepsis is important, as they significantly contribute to its incidence and associated mortality.

Key risk factors for sepsis incidence and mortality

  • Intensive care unit admission
  • Hospitalization
  • Vulnerable population: elderly age (age > 65), pregnant or recently pregnant women, neonates, poverty
  • Immunosuppression
    • HIV/AIDS
    • Cirrhosis
    • Asplenia
    • Autoimmune disease
    • Chronic kidney disease
    • Corticosteroids
    • Diabetes
  • Cancer
  • Genetic predisposition
  • Major surgery
  • Burns
  • Alcohol Use Disorder
  • Social factors: access to immunizations, access to timely healthcare

When taking a history from a patient with suspected sepsis, it is crucial to gather comprehensive and relevant information to guide the diagnosis and management. Here are key areas to focus on:

Recent Illness or Infection

  • Ask about any recent symptoms of infection, such as fever, chills, cough, urinary symptoms, or abdominal pain. Determine the duration and progression of these symptoms.

Medical History

  • Inquire about the patient’s past medical history, including chronic conditions like diabetes, heart disease, lung disease, and cancer. These conditions can increase the risk of sepsis and influence the management plan.

Immune Status

  • Determine if the patient has a compromised immune system due to factors such as recent chemotherapy, HIV/AIDS, or use of immunosuppressive medications. This information is vital as these patients are at higher risk of severe infections and sepsis.

Recent Procedures or Hospitalizations

  • Ask about any recent surgeries, hospitalizations, or invasive medical procedures, as these can be sources of infection leading to sepsis.

Current Medications

  • Obtain a list of the patient’s current medications, including antibiotics, immunosuppressants, and any other relevant drugs that might impact the immune response or treatment plan.

Symptoms of Sepsis

  • Look for signs and symptoms suggestive of sepsis, such as:
    • High or low-temperature
    • Confusion or altered mentation
    • Extreme pain or discomfort
    • Shortness of breath
    • Clammy or sweaty skin
    • High heart rate
    • Low blood pressure
    • Rapid breathing
    • Chills
    • Low urine output

Exposure History

  • Ask about any potential exposures to infectious agents, such as recent travel, contact with sick individuals, or exposure to animals that could carry pathogens.

Social and Lifestyle Factors

  • Gather information about the patient’s social and lifestyle factors that might influence their risk for infection or sepsis, such as living conditions, hygiene practices, and any recent illnesses in family members or close contacts.

Physical Examination [2,7-9]

The earliest signs of sepsis often include changes in vital signs and symptoms related to common infectious sources, such as cough, dyspnea, abdominal pain, dysuria, emesis, diarrhea, back pain, oliguria, focal neurological deficits (FND), rash, or skin changes.

Vital sign changes indicative of sepsis, septic shock include a temperature greater than 38.3°C or less than 36°C, tachycardia exceeding 90 beats per minute (or more than two standard deviations above the normal value for age), tachypnea greater than 20 breaths per minute, and arterial hypotension, defined as systolic blood pressure (SBP) less than 90 mmHg, mean arterial pressure (MAP) below 70 mmHg, a decrease in SBP of over 40 mmHg, or values falling more than two standard deviations below the normal range for age.

Signs of end-organ perfusion problems may also be present, including altered mental status, oliguria, ileus, and hypoxemia.

As sepsis progresses to septic shock, decreased capillary refill, cyanosis, and skin mottling may occur due to blood flow being diverted to core organs. In compensated shock, patients may exhibit warm skin with bounding pulses, whereas uncompensated shock is characterized by cool skin and thready pulses.

Figure 1 - Common Physical Exam Findings (Depending on Infectious Source)

Alternative Diagnoses [7-8]

As we mentioned above, SIRS can be caused by various reasons, and it is not specific to sepsis; many non-infectious etiologies should be considered in differential diagnoses; these are;

Shock Causes

  • Distributive shock, Anaphylaxis
  • Hemorrhagic shock
  • Cardiogenic shock
  • Obstructive shock

Cardiac/pulmonary

  • Acute respiratory distress syndrome
  • Pulmonary embolism

Endocrine

  • Adrenal Crisis
  • Pancreatitis
  • Diabetic ketoacidosis

Hematologic

  • Disseminated Intravascular Coagulation
  • Anemia

Other

  • Toxic Shock Syndrome
  • Drug Toxicity

Acing Diagnostic Testing

The diagnosis of sepsis and septic shock is often made at the bedside, integrating the patient’s history, physical examination, laboratory findings, and imaging results. A thorough history and physical examination is essential, considering factors such as medical, social, and travel history, immunization status, and pregnancy. A comprehensive physical exam, including neurologic, oropharyngeal, skin, and genitourinary assessments, is crucial to identify potential sources of infection and guides diagnostic testing.

Sepsis is a complex condition with diverse clinical and laboratory manifestations, requiring a multifaceted diagnostic approach. Laboratory findings in sepsis can reveal critical abnormalities across hematologic, metabolic, and inflammatory markers. Hematologic findings often include leukocytosis or leukopenia, thrombocytopenia, and bandemia (an excess of immature neutrophils, commonly referred to as a “left shift”). Coagulation abnormalities are also frequently observed. Metabolic disturbances can manifest as hyperglycemia (even in the absence of diabetes), elevated creatinine, and hyperbilirubinemia, reflecting multi-organ involvement. Elevated inflammatory markers, such as C-reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin, are common, along with hyperlactatemia, which often indicates tissue hypoperfusion and metabolic stress. Other key laboratory findings may include hypoxemia, suggestive of impaired oxygenation or underlying respiratory dysfunction.

While there are no specific imaging findings unique to sepsis, radiologic evaluations can help identify potential sources of infection. For instance, a chest X-ray may reveal pneumonia, abdominal computed tomography (CT) can detect abscesses, and ultrasound is useful for identifying conditions such as cholecystitis. These imaging modalities are critical for localizing infection and guiding targeted therapy.

A critical component of sepsis evaluation involves microbiologic investigations. Blood cultures, ideally obtained before initiating antibiotics, are a cornerstone of diagnostic testing, though they often yield negative results. Sepsis can be caused by a wide range of pathogens, including gram-positive and gram-negative bacteria, as well as fungi. For neonates and pregnant individuals, Group B Streptococcus remains the leading pathogen.

Laboratory investigations should include a complete blood count, comprehensive metabolic panel, coagulation studies, liver function tests, lactate, CRP, and procalcitonin levels. Arterial or venous blood gas analysis can provide additional insights into respiratory and metabolic status. Urinalysis and respiratory viral testing, including for COVID-19, may also be warranted based on clinical presentation. Culture collection, such as blood, urine, sputum, tracheal aspirates, wound swabs, or cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), is essential for pathogen identification, with at least two sets of blood cultures recommended before antibiotic administration.

Imaging studies should be guided by clinical suspicion and patient history. Chest X-rays, CT scans, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and ultrasound can help identify the infection’s origin and extent, facilitating more accurate and timely treatment decisions.

The table below shows common sources of sepsis by system, clinical signs, and appropriate diagnostic testing (Original by the authors).

 

System

 

 

Possible Diagnoses

 

Signs / Symptoms

 

Potential Testing

Pulmonary

Pneumonia, Lung Abscess

 

Cough, dyspnea, sputum production, rales, effusion

CXR, lung ultrasound, culture

Skin/Soft tissue

Indwelling Catheters, Cellulitis, necrotizing fasciitis

 

Erythema, warmth, necrosis, pain, petechiae, rash

Site cultures, CT, ultrasound

Intraabdominal           

Cholecystitis, cholangitis, appendicitis, diverticulitis, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, Clostridium difficile

Abdominal pain, jaundice, nausea, emesis, diarrhea, guarding, rigidity

CT, ultrasound, KUB, stool culture

Cardiac

Endocarditis, myocarditis

Murmurs, history of valve disease

Echocardiogram, blood culture

Genitourinary

Pyelonephritis, urinary tract infection, pelvic inflammatory disease, tuboovarian abscess, endometritis, septic abortion, prostatitis

Dysuria, urinary hesitancy, flank pain, vaginal discharge, genital pain

CT, UA, urine culture, blood culture 

Neurologic

 

Meningitis, cerebral abscess, epidural abscess 

Nuchal rigidity, altered mental status (AMS), FND

CT, CSF culture, MRI

Orthopedic

Osteomyelitis, septic arthritis, indwelling hardware

AMS, pain

XR, CT, culture

Otolaryngologic

Epiglottis, croup, peritonsillar abscess, retropharyngeal abscess, mastoiditis

Stridor, trismus, swelling, temporal bone tenderness

CT, culture

Risk Stratification [9-11]

The severity of sepsis is assessed based on the degree of organ dysfunction. Laboratory findings, vital signs, and physical examination are critical in determining the severity. In the emergency department, clinicians should integrate multiple clinical and laboratory findings to guide the diagnosis. Initial lactate measurements, as well as repeat measurements after initial resuscitation, are essential, particularly if lactate levels exceed 4 mmol/L or if there is suspicion of clinical deterioration. The Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score is a valuable tool for evaluating organ dysfunction.

Clinicians must assess each patient individually, taking into account the type of underlying infection, the degree of hemodynamic instability, the extent of hyperlactatemia, and the presence of signs of end-organ failure. This comprehensive evaluation is crucial for accurately determining the severity of sepsis and guiding appropriate management.

Management [7-9, 12-14]

Immediate Actions in the Emergency Department

Immediate actions in the emergency department are often performed simultaneously:

  1. Stabilize the Airway: Administer supplemental oxygen to maintain oxygen saturation levels at ≥92%.
  2. Cardiac Monitoring: Place the patient on a cardiac monitor to assess rhythm and hemodynamic status.
  3. Intravenous Access: Establish intravenous access and anticipate the need for a central venous catheter and invasive blood pressure monitoring if necessary.
  4. Evaluation for Infectious Source: Perform a thorough assessment to identify potential infectious sources.

Initial Resuscitation

Initial resuscitation in sepsis management focuses on two primary goals:

  1. Restoring Tissue Perfusion
  2. Initiating Antimicrobial Therapy

Restoring Tissue Perfusion

Fluids:

  • Administer rapid IV fluid boluses (500 mL) of balanced crystalloid solutions in patients with hypotension or hypoperfusion, provided there is no evidence of fluid overload.
  • Consider an infusion of 30 mL/kg of balanced crystalloid IV fluids as initial therapy, with careful monitoring of the patient’s response rather than delivering a pre-specified volume.
  • Balanced crystalloid solutions (e.g., Ringer’s Lactate or Plasmalyte) are preferred over saline due to the risk of hyperchloremic metabolic acidosis and renal impairment associated with saline infusions.

Vasopressors:

  • Initiate vasopressor therapy alongside fluid administration if hypotension persists.
  • Norepinephrine is the first-line vasopressor for all patients with septic shock.
  • Vasopressin (0.03 to 0.04 U/min) may be used as an adjunct to norepinephrine.
  • Epinephrine is a second-line agent for patients with ongoing hypotension or myocardial depression.
  • Titrate vasopressors to maintain a mean arterial pressure (MAP) of ≥65 mm Hg.
  • While central access is not mandatory for the early initiation of vasopressors, peripheral access is adequate for initial delivery.

Antimicrobial Therapy

Choice of Antibiotics:

  • Begin broad-spectrum antibiotics targeting both gram-positive and gram-negative bacteria if the pathogen is unidentified.

Timing:

  • Early initiation of antibiotics is strongly associated with improved survival outcomes.
  • Initiate antibiotics within the first hour of presentation, after obtaining necessary cultures. Do not delay antibiotic administration for testing.

Antivirals and Antifungals:

  • Consider antiviral therapy for patients with severe viral infections such as COVID-19, influenza, or herpes simplex virus.
  • Initiate antifungal therapy in high-risk patients when indicated.

Source Control

Early source control is critical in managing sepsis:

  • Identify and treat infectious sources promptly.
  • Remove or drain indwelling catheters and soft tissue abscesses in the emergency department.
  • Obtain cultures of other potentially infected fluid collections, such as pleural effusions or ascites.
  • Consult specialists for managing complex infections, such as hemodialysis lines, biliary obstructions, necrotizing soft tissue infections, or deep abscesses.

Continued Management

Following initial resuscitation, patients should be frequently re-evaluated for clinical, hemodynamic, and laboratory changes. Additional fluids should be administered based on the patient’s response to therapy.

Evaluating Fluid Response:

  • Clinical Parameters: Assess capillary refill, urine output, and mental status.
  • Quantitative Parameters: Use tools such as central venous pressure, passive leg raise tests, or inferior vena cava (IVC) collapsibility on point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS).
  • Tutorials for POCUS may include IVC measurement, IVC collapsibility, and IVC plethora.

Other Treatments

  • Corticosteroid Therapy: Empiric use is generally not recommended unless treating for a coexisting condition.
  • Adjunctive Therapy: Therapies such as angiotensin II (or its analogs), vitamin C, vitamin D, and thiamine are not recommended for routine use in sepsis management.

Special Patient Groups

Pediatrics [15-17]

Sepsis is the leading cause of pediatric mortality worldwide, with common comorbidities including lung disease, congenital heart disease, neuromuscular disorders, and cancer. Compared to adults, pediatric patients have an increased physiological reserve, which can mask signs of clinical deterioration, complicating early recognition and treatment. The current definitions of organ dysfunction and hyperlactatemia in sepsis are primarily based on adult populations and have not been fully adapted to pediatric patients. Pediatric sepsis is still defined as the presence of infection along with at least two out of four systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) criteria, while pediatric septic shock is characterized by severe infection resulting in cardiovascular dysfunction. Timely management is critical and includes the administration of fluid boluses (40-60 mL/kg), broad-spectrum antibiotics, and prompt infectious source control. However, the use of fluid boluses in resource-limited settings remains controversial. For pediatric septic shock, epinephrine is preferred over norepinephrine as the first-line vasopressor. Additionally, vaccines for meningitis, diarrhea, dengue, and measles are highly cost-effective preventative measures that can significantly reduce the global burden of pediatric sepsis.

Pregnant Patients [18]

Human physiology undergoes significant changes during pregnancy, including expanded plasma volume, increased cardiac output, and peripheral vasodilation, which must be considered when evaluating for sepsis. The most common sources of infection in pregnancy include septic abortion, endometritis, chorioamnionitis, wound infections, urinary tract infections (UTIs), pneumonia, and appendicitis. Common pathogens associated with these infections are Escherichia coli (E. coli), Group A Streptococcus, and Group B Streptococcus. Early initiation of empiric antibiotic therapy is critical to improving outcomes. Initial fluid resuscitation should include 1–2 liters of crystalloid solution, with further fluid management guided by the patient’s preload status, as only 50% of hypotensive septic patients are fluid responsive. Overly aggressive fluid administration may result in edema and increased risk of mortality. Norepinephrine is the first-line vasopressor recommended for septic pregnant patients. The immediate delivery of the fetus is not typically indicated in sepsis; decisions regarding delivery should be individualized. Delays in care or escalation of care are the leading causes of maternal deaths in sepsis, highlighting the importance of prompt and appropriate intervention.

COVID-19 [19,20]

The COVID-19 pandemic has affected millions of people worldwide, with critical cases defined by the presence of acute respiratory distress syndrome requiring ventilation, sepsis, or septic shock. Acute manifestations of severe COVID-19, including significant organ dysfunction, meet the diagnostic criteria for sepsis caused by other pathogens. The pathophysiology of sepsis and COVID-19 share many similarities, making this overlap an ongoing area of research to better understand and manage these conditions.

Geriatrics [21,22]

Sepsis is a significant concern in the geriatric population, characterized by a systemic inflammatory response to infection that can lead to organ dysfunction and increased mortality. Older adults are particularly vulnerable due to age-related physiological changes, comorbidities, and often atypical presentations of infections. Studies indicate that sepsis is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality among older individuals, with a higher incidence of severe outcomes compared to younger populations. Furthermore, the management of sepsis in older adults is complicated by factors such as polypharmacy, cognitive impairment, and frailty, which can hinder timely diagnosis and treatment. Early recognition and prompt intervention are crucial for improving survival rates in this demographic, emphasizing the need for tailored approaches to sepsis care in geriatric patients.

When To Admit This Patient [23,24]

All diagnosed sepsis patients required admission. Admission is critical when they exhibit signs of organ dysfunction, persistent hypotension despite adequate fluid resuscitation, or altered mental status, as these indicators suggest a severe systemic response to infection. The Surviving Sepsis Campaign guidelines recommend immediate admission to an intensive care unit (ICU) for patients with septic shock or those requiring close monitoring and advanced therapies. Additionally, patients presenting with a high risk of deterioration, such as those with significant comorbidities or advanced age, should also be considered for admission to ensure timely intervention and management.

Revisiting Your Patient

She is treated with 1 liter of intravenous Lactated Ringer’s solution, supplemental oxygen, and empiric antibiotics. Laboratory tests are ordered, and a bedside chest X-ray (CXR) shows right upper lobe consolidation. The patient is diagnosed with sepsis secondary to bacterial pneumonia.

Following adequate resuscitation, she is transferred to the intensive care unit for further monitoring. Sputum cultures confirm Streptococcus pneumoniae, and she is started on ceftriaxone. Two days later, she returns to her neurological baseline, and the CXR shows improvement in the consolidation. The patient is transferred to the medical floor for one more day of observation and then discharged home.

Authors

Picture of Tina Samsamshariat

Tina Samsamshariat

Tina Samsamshariat is a graduating fourth year medical school at the University of Arizona College of Medicine – Phoenix. She is pursuing emergency medicine residency at Los Angeles County + University of Southern California. She received her bachelor’s in science at the University of California at Los Angeles and her master’s in public health at the University of Southern California. She completed a pre-doctoral global health fellowship with the National Institutes of Health Fogarty International Center where she was based in Lima, Peru. She is passionate about global health, health equity, and social emergency medicine.

Picture of Ardeshir Kianercy

Ardeshir Kianercy

Picture of Elizabeth DeVos

Elizabeth DeVos

Elizabeth DeVos MD, MPH, FACEP is a Professor of Emergency Medicine at the University of Florida College of Medicine-Jacksonville where she is Assistant Chair for Faculty Development and the Medical Director for International EM Education Programs. She is also the Director of the UF College of Medicine Global Health Education Programs. After completing her EM residency at UF-Jacksonville, Elizabeth completed a fellowship in International Emergency Medicine at George Washington University. She has partnered in the development of EM Specialty Training in several countries, including living and working in Kigali, Rwanda as faculty in the first EM residency. Elizabeth has served the American College of Emergency Physicians as a member of the International Section’s executive committee and chairs the ACEP Ambassador Program. She previously served the Specialty Implementation Committee as Chair and led the working group to publish, “How to Start and Operate a National Emergency Medicine Specialty Organization.”

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References

  1. Rudd KE, Johnson SC, Agesa KM, et al. Global, regional, and national sepsis incidence and mortality, 1990-2017: analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study. Lancet. 2020;395(10219):200-211. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(19)32989-7.
  2. World Health Organization. Sepsis. int. Published August 26, 2020. Accessed December 25, 2024. https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/sepsis.
  3. Gotts JE, Matthay MA. Sepsis: pathophysiology and clinical management. BMJ. 2016;353:i1585. Published 2016 May 23. doi:10.1136/bmj.i1585.
  4. Singer M, Deutschman CS, Seymour CW, et al. The Third International Consensus Definitions for Sepsis and Septic Shock (Sepsis-3). JAMA. 2016;315(8):801-810. doi:10.1001/jama.2016.0287.
  5. Evans L, Rhodes A, Alhazzani W, et al. Surviving Sepsis Campaign: International Guidelines for Management of Sepsis and Septic Shock 2021. Crit Care Med. 2021;49(11):e1063-e1143. doi:10.1097/CCM.0000000000005337.
  6. Adams R, Henry KE, Sridharan A, et al. Prospective, multi-site study of patient outcomes after implementation of the TREWS machine learning-based early warning system for sepsis. Nat Med. 2022;28(7):1455-1460. doi:10.1038/s41591-022-01894-0.
  7. Mahapatra S, Heffner AC. Septic Shock. StatPearls Publishing; 2022. Accessed December 25, 2024. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK430939/?report=reader#_NBK430939_pubdet
  8. Heffner AC, Horton JM, Marchick MR, Jones AE. Etiology of illness in patients with severe sepsis admitted to the hospital from the emergency department. Clin Infect Dis. 2010;50(6):814-820. doi:10.1086/650580.
  9. Angus DC, van der Poll T. Severe sepsis and septic shock. N Engl J Med. 2013;369(9):840-851. doi:10.1056/NEJMra1208623.
  10. Yealy DM, Mohr NM, Shapiro NI, Venkatesh A, Jones AE, Self WH. Early Care of Adults With Suspected Sepsis in the Emergency Department and Out-of-Hospital Environment: A Consensus-Based Task Force Report. Ann Emerg Med. 2021;78(1):1-19. doi:10.1016/j.annemergmed.2021.02.006.
  11. Farkas J. Septic Shock. The Internet Book of Critical Care. Published July 25, 2021. Accessed December 25, 2024. https://emcrit.org/ibcc/sepsis/#rapid_reference.
  12. International Emergency Medicine Education Project. Video 9 Tutorial on Ultrasound of the Inferior Vena Cava [Video]. YouTube. Accessed December 25, 2024. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1SMqDeAu6Fc.
  13. International Emergency Medicine Education Project. Video 10 Collapsible and Non-collapsible IVC with Respiration [Video]. YouTube. Accessed December 25, 2024. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lIbBPedXnkQ.
  14. The POCUS Atlas. A Plethoric IVC [Video]. YouTube. Accessed December 25, 2024. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G8l25aHmZik.
  15. Weiss SL, Peters MJ, Alhazzani W, et al. Executive summary: surviving sepsis campaign international guidelines for the management of septic shock and sepsis-associated organ dysfunction in children. Intensive Care Med. 2020;46(Suppl 1):1-9. doi:10.1007/s00134-019-05877-7.
  16. Kissoon N, Reinhart K, Daniels R, Machado MFR, Schachter RD, Finfer S. Sepsis in Children: Global Implications of the World Health Assembly Resolution on Sepsis. Pediatr Crit Care Med. 2017;18(12):e625-e627. doi:10.1097/PCC.0000000000001340.
  17. Mathias B, Mira JC, Larson SD. Pediatric sepsis. Curr Opin Pediatr. 2016;28(3):380-387. doi:10.1097/MOP.0000000000000337.
  18. Society for Maternal-Fetal Medicine (SMFM). Electronic address: pubs@smfm.org, Plante LA, Pacheco LD, Louis JM. SMFM Consult Series #47: Sepsis during pregnancy and the puerperium. Am J Obstet Gynecol. 2019;220(4):B2-B10. doi:10.1016/j.ajog.2019.01.216.
  19. Koçak Tufan Z, Kayaaslan B, Mer M. COVID-19 and Sepsis. Turk J Med Sci. 2021;51(SI-1):3301-3311. Published 2021 Dec 17. doi:10.3906/sag-2108-239.
  20. Alhazzani W, Evans L, Alshamsi F, et al. Surviving Sepsis Campaign Guidelines on the Management of Adults With Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the ICU: First Update. Crit Care Med. 2021;49(3):e219-e234. doi:10.1097/CCM.0000000000004899.
  21. Kumar A, et al. Sepsis in the Elderly: A Review. J Geriatr Emerg Med. 2020;21(3):145-153.
  22. Klein MJ, et al. Challenges in the Management of Sepsis in Older Adults. Age Ageing. 2021;50(4):120
  23. Rhodes A, Evans LE, Alhazzani W, et al. Surviving Sepsis Campaign: International Guidelines for Management of Sepsis and Septic Shock: 2016. Crit Care Med. 2017;45(3):486-552. doi:10.1097/CCM.0000000000002255.
  24. Weinberg J, et al. The impact of comorbidities on sepsis outcomes: a systematic review. J Crit Care. 2018;47:238-244. doi:10.1016/j.jcrc.2018.07.002

Reviewed and Edited By

Picture of Arif Alper Cevik, MD, FEMAT, FIFEM

Arif Alper Cevik, MD, FEMAT, FIFEM

Prof Cevik is an Emergency Medicine academician at United Arab Emirates University, interested in international emergency medicine, emergency medicine education, medical education, point of care ultrasound and trauma. He is the founder and director of the International Emergency Medicine Education Project – iem-student.org, chair of the International Federation for Emergency Medicine (IFEM) core curriculum and education committee and board member of the Asian Society for Emergency Medicine and Emirati Board of Emergency Medicine.

Cryptic Shock – Identifying the Unseen (PART 1)

Case Presentation

A 68-year-old man presented to the Emergency Department with complaints of breathing difficulty and fever for three days. The patient is a known diabetic and hypertensive.

After detailed history taking, clinical examination, and radiological workup, the patient was diagnosed with right-sided lobar pneumonia (Community-acquired) and immediately started on intravenous antibiotics. In addition, necessary cultures and blood samples were taken for evaluation.

At the time of presentation, his vitals were HR – 92/min, BP – 130/70mmHg, RR – 30/min, SpO2 – 90% with RA à 96% with 2L O2. He underwent bladder catheterization.

During the 1st hour in the ER, the patient had a very low urine output, which continued for the next few hours. Lactate levels were more than 4mmol/L.

Based on the symptoms, oliguria, and hyperlactatemia, the patient was diagnosed to have sepsis and was initiated on fluid resuscitation. After 2 hours, the patient remained oliguric still, and his BP declined to 120/70mmHg.

After 6 hours, the patient’s BP became 110/60mmHg (MAP – 77). He became anuric and developed altered sensorium. Since he did not meet the criteria of septic shock, he was continued on IV fluids and antibiotics.

After 12 hours, the BP became 80/40mmHg (MAP – 63mmHg) à developed Multiorgan Dysfunction Syndrome. He was then started on vasopressors and mechanical ventilation.

By day 3, the patient further deteriorated and went into cardiac arrest. ROSC was not achieved.

Case Analysis

The treatment initiated was based on protocols like Surviving Sepsis Guidelines and Septic Shock management. So how did the process fail in order to adequately resuscitate this patient? Could something have been done more differently?

The case you read above is a very common scenario. Approximately 30% of the people coming to the ER are hypertensive, and around 10% have diabetes mellitus. They form a huge population, among whom the incidence of any other disease increases their morbidity and early mortality.

Before we delve into the pathology in these patients, let us look at the basic definitions of shock/hypotension.

  • SBP < 90mmHg
  • MAP < 65 mmHg
  • Decrease in SBP > 40mmHg
  • Organ Dysfunction
  • Hyperlactatemia
  • Shock: A state of circulatory insufficiency that creates an imbalance between tissue oxygen supply (delivery) and demand (consumption), resulting in end-organ dysfunction.
  • Septic Shock: Adult patients can be identified using the clinical criteria of hypotension requiring the use of vasopressors to maintain MAP of 65mmHg or greater and having a serum lactate level greater than 2 mmol/L persisting after adequate fluids resuscitation.
  • Cryptic Shock: Presence of hyperlactatemia (or systemic hypoperfusion) in a case of sepsis with normotension.

Based on all the information given above;

  1. what do you think was wrong with our patient?
  2. What kind of shock did he have?
  3. Could we have managed him any other way?
  4. When should we have started inotropes?
  5. Did the fact that he was hypertensive and diabetic have to do with his early deterioration? If so, how?
  6. When did the patient-first develop signs of shock?
  7. What are the different signs and symptoms of shock, and how are they recognized in the ER?

Keep your answers ready… 

Part 2 of Cryptic Shock Series – Vascular Pathology and What is considered ‘Shock’ in Hypertensive patients

Part 3 of Cryptic Shock Series – Individualised BP management

Part 4 of Cryptic Shock Series – Latest Trends

References and Further Reading

  1. Ranzani OT, Monteiro MB, Ferreira EM, Santos SR, Machado FR, Noritomi DT; Grupo de Cuidados Críticos Amil. Reclassifying the spectrum of septic patients using lactate: severe sepsis, cryptic shock, vasoplegic shock and dysoxic shock. Rev Bras Ter Intensiva. 2013 Oct-Dec;25(4):270-8. doi: 10.5935/0103-507X.20130047.
  2. Singer M, Deutschman CS, Seymour CW, Shankar-Hari M, Annane D, Bauer M, Bellomo R, Bernard GR, Chiche JD, Coopersmith CM, Hotchkiss RS, Levy MM, Marshall JC, Martin GS, Opal SM, Rubenfeld GD, van der Poll T, Vincent JL, Angus DC. The Third International Consensus Definitions for Sepsis and Septic Shock (Sepsis-3). JAMA. 2016 Feb 23;315(8):801-10. doi: 10.1001/jama.2016.0287.
  3. Shankar-Hari M, Phillips GS, Levy ML, Seymour CW, Liu VX, Deutschman CS, Angus DC, Rubenfeld GD, Singer M; Sepsis Definitions Task Force. Developing a New Definition and Assessing New Clinical Criteria for Septic Shock: For the Third International Consensus Definitions for Sepsis and Septic Shock (Sepsis-3). JAMA. 2016 Feb 23;315(8):775-87. doi: 10.1001/jama.2016.0289.
  4. Education Resources – Sepsis Trust
  5. The Research of Predicting Septic Shock – International Emergency Medicine Education Project (iem-student.org)
  6. Sepsis – International Emergency Medicine Education Project (iem-student.org)
  7. Empiric Antibiotics for Sepsis in the ED Infographics – International Emergency Medicine Education Project (iem-student.org)
  8. Sepsis – An Overview and Update – International Emergency Medicine Education Project (iem-student.org)
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Sepsis – An Overview and Update

An Overview and Update

What is Sepsis?

Sepsis is a composite of symptoms and clinical signs that correspond to infection within a patient. This clinically heterogeneous syndrome may be fatal due to the extensive inflammatory processes and organ dysfunction it can provoke.

The New Definition of Sepsis

In 2016, after a revision by the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine and the Society of Critical Care Medicine, sepsis was redefined as “a life-threatening organ dysfunction caused by a dysregulated host response to infection.”

This new definition of sepsis means that the patient’s body, in response to infection, reacts by causing damage to its own organ structures, and this process can progress to the point where death can be an unfortunate end result.

Along with this up-to-date definition of sepsis, up-to-date criteria for evaluating sepsis were also provided; however, let’s first consider the causes of sepsis.

What is the Aetiology of Sepsis?

Sepsis can be caused by various organisms ranging from viruses to fungi to protozoans; however, bacterial infections are the main offenders. Vincent et al. (2009) concluded in the international EPIC II study that gram-negative bacteria were the principal perpetrators, accounting for 62%, while the gram-positives followed with a frequency of 47%. Of these groups, the principle organisms include:

  • Staphylococcus aureus and Pseudomonas at 20%
  • Escherichia coli at 16%

Different risk factors may predispose persons to become infected by these organisms.

Risk Factors

  • Non-Communicable diseases (Diabetes Mellitus, Chronic Kidney Disease)
  • Hemodialysis
  • Liver disease
  • Immunodeficient conditions
  • Trauma
  • The elderly, children, infants
  • Burns
  • Corticosteroid Use
  • Cancer
  • Prolonged Hospital Stay
  • Indwelling catheters

What is the Clinical Presentation of Sepsis?

The presentation of sepsis ranges from acute to insidious. There are cases where the patient may indicate a site of infection to cases where there is none apparent. Symptoms and signs of this syndrome generally include the following:

Another early sign of sepsis includes the presence of leukopenia or leukocytosis.
Along with these parameters, there are also specific signs within each organ system that must also be taken into account when investigating the source of primary infection or exploring the secondary effects of the same.

For example, when examining the respiratory system, listen for adventitious sounds or decreased breath sounds that may point to pneumonia and other chest infections. Respiratory causes of sepsis account for 42% of cases, according to the EPIC II study.

Patients who present with abdominal pain should be evaluated to rule out infection sources in abdominal structures such as the appendix, colon, pancreas, gallbladder. Other sources of infection may include the urinary tract and the prostate gland.

Patients with a history of trauma, wounds, and recent surgeries should be evaluated for any signs of wound infection (e.g., pain, erythema, purulent discharge, weeping wound, abscess formation)

In patients who are already admitted to the hospital and have been given invasive adjuncts, such as a central line, urinary catheters, and hemodialysis access sites, evaluate for inflammatory signs around the insertion site.

Warning Signs of Severe Sepsis

Sepsis progresses through a continuum that begins with a systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) and ends with multi-organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS), where mortality is almost inevitable. Its severest form is known as Septic Shock, a subcategory of sepsis where there is a great probability of mortality due to severe metabolic and circulatory irregularities.

The New Criteria for Evaluating Sepsis

The Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score, otherwise known as the SOFA score, is the new criteria used to evaluate sepsis. It replaces the SIRS Criteria.

SOFA takes into consideration six parameters that relate to specific organ systems. These systems are aligned with clinical signs and laboratory values, which fit into a numerical score ranging from 0 to 4, where 0 corresponds to normal values, and 4 corresponds to a high level of organ failure. See the image below, adapted from Vincent et al. (1996).

Since this criteria at its base enable physicians to assess the level of dysfunction occurring in the patient’s organ systems, the higher the score given, the more probable there will be an increase in mortality.

Using the SOFA criteria,  a score equal to and greater than 2 in the presence of confirmed or suspected infection corresponds to organ dysfunction. It indicates a mortality risk of around 10%.

The abbreviated version of the SOFA score, known as quick SOFA or qSOFA, is helpful for screening patients suspected to have sepsis by quickly evaluating three parameters, mental status, systolic blood pressure, and the respiratory rate.

REBELEM Blog (2016) qSOFA Score

Laboratory and Imaging

The general laboratory, imaging, and special studies for sepsis can include various tests depending on the suspected source of the infection, for example:

  • A Chest X-ray may show signs of pneumonia or any other lung infection.
  • CT imaging may reveal abdominal abscesses, perforation of the bowels.
  • An ultrasound can rule out pelvic sources of infection, as well as in organs such as the gall bladder.
  • Cardiac tests (electrocardiogram and troponins) may reveal suspected causes such as Myocardial Infarction.
  • Routine tests such as Complete Blood Count and Chemistry studies provide a baseline analysis for infection screening and organ dysfunction (kidney and liver).
  • Procalcitonin is a sepsis biomarker and increases in the presence of systemic bacterial infection.
  • Blood, urine, and source cultures should be taken for organism identification and antibiotic sensitivities.
  • Certain clinical presentations may necessitate abscess aspiration, lumbar puncture, or paracentesis.
  • Arterial blood gas is also a beneficial test for analyzing how septic a patient may be.

It is also important to note that serum lactate has become an important test in diagnosing sepsis, especially in relation to septic shock. (Lee and An, 2016)

The image below provides a summary of test results related to sepsis, as adapted from Mahapatra and Heffner (2020):

Treatment of Sepsis

The foundational aspects of treating sepsis rest upon rapid recognition and rapid remedy.

Schmidt and Mandel (2021) explain that resuscitation must be aggressively instituted in order to reperfuse the organs; just like antibiotic therapy, fluid resuscitation should be implemented within the first hour. It is given at 30 mL/kg and should be finalized by the third hour.

Initial antibiotic therapy should aim to cover both gram-positive and gram-negative organisms, any other considerations must be fully in line with the information found in the patient’s history, and physical examination. Where the source of infection necessitates surgical intervention, this must be pursued additionally.

The patient’s response to the treatments should be continuously monitored for improvements or worsening condition, and appropriate transfers should be pre-empted, for example, if the patient needs to be transferred to the Intensive Care Unit.

Key Points

  1. Sepsis is a clinically heterogeneous syndrome, which has a progression that can lead to severe cellular, metabolic, and overall hemodynamic dysfunction.
  2. If left un-recognized or, if it is not treated aggressively, the patient outcomes may be dim.
  3. The SOFA score is a criteria that is used in-depth and in a quick overview to assess the level of organ dysfunction in suspected or confirmed sepsis.
  4. Patients should be consistently monitored while exploring for the possible primary source.
  5. Sepsis is treated with rapid infusion of intravenous fluids and by using broad-spectrum antibiotics.
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References and Further Reading

Question Of The Day #43

question of the day

Which of the following is the most likely cause for this patient’s altered mental status?

This patient presents to the Emergency Department with altered mental status and fever.  Altered mental status can be due to a large variety of etiologies, including hypoglycemia, sepsis, toxic ingestions, electrolyte abnormalities, stroke, and more.  The management and evaluation of a patient with altered mental status depends on the primary assessment of the patient (“ABCs”, or Airway, Breathing, Circulation) to identify any acute life-threatening conditions that need to be managed emergently, the history, and the physical examination.  One mnemonic that may help in remembering the many causes of altered mental status is “AEIOUTIPS”.  The table below outlines this mnemonic.

ALTERED MENTAL STATUS

This patient has confusion, fever, lower abdominal pain, dysuria, and no focal neurological deficits on exam.  Diabetic ketoacidosis (Choice A) is unlikely as the patient does not have marked hyperglycemia (>250mg/dL (13.8mmol/L)), polyuria, or polydipsia.  Intracranial hemorrhage (Choice C) is unlikely as the patient has no headache, history of trauma, focal neurologic deficits, or coma.  Severe hypothyroidism (Choice D), known as myxedema coma, can cause altered mental status.  This condition is marked by somnolence or coma, hypothermia, nonpitting edema on the hands and feet, dry skin, macroglossia (enlarged tongue), and hair loss.  This patient does not have symptoms consistent with severe hypothyroidism. 

Sepsis (Choice B), especially in elderly individuals, can cause altered mental status.  The patient’s fever, confusion, lower abdominal pain, and dysuria all point to a likely diagnosis of urosepsis.  Sepsis is the most likely cause of this patient’s disoriented state.  Treatment with early IV hydration and antibiotics will help remedy the patient’s altered mental status.  Correct Answer: B

References

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Empiric Antibiotics for Sepsis in the ED Infographics

Empiric Antibiotics for Sepsis in the ED Infographics

Question Of The Day #7

question of the day
qod7 - sepsis

Which of the following is the most appropriate next step in management for this patient’s condition?

This patient has a diagnosis of septic shock due to pneumonia. In all patients presenting to the Emergency Department, the initial assessment should involve the “ABCs” (assessment of Airway, Breathing, and Circulation). The patient is given supplemental oxygen for her hypoxemia with an improved oxygen saturation from 89% to 95%. Performing endotracheal intubation (Choice A) is too aggressive at this time as the patient is improving with non-invasive oxygenation techniques. The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid sepsis guidelines recommend a 30 mL/kg of isotonic crystalloid fluid bolus in patients with sepsis. However, there is limited data to support this recommendation, as some patients may benefit from less or more fluids than 30 mL/kg. The question stem indicates that an appropriate bolus of fluids has been given, so providing more IV fluids (Choice B) is not the best course of action. The use of passive leg raising or bedside ultrasonography to assess for Inferior Vena Cava (IVC) size may help a clinician discern if more or less fluids are required. For example, visualizing a flat, collapsible IVC on ultrasound indicates additional fluids may be helpful. An increase in blood pressure after a patient’s legs are raised above the level of the heart (“passive leg raise”) also supports the use of additional IV fluids. Giving acetaminophen (Choice D) will help reduce the patient’s fever and improve patient comfort. However, initiating vasopressor therapy (Choice C) is the more appropriate next course of action. Vasopressors (i.e. norepinephrine, epinephrine) are generally recommended after IV fluid boluses if a patient is persistently hypotensive with a MAP less than 65mmHg. Vasopressors help to maintain cerebral and organ perfusion in states of shock. They should be titrated to a dose that maintains a MAP of 65mmHg or above.  Correct Answer: 

References

Nicks BA, Gaillard JP. Approach to Nontraumatic Shock. “Chapter 12: Approach to Nontraumatic Shock”. In: Tintinalli JE, Ma O, Yealy DM, Meckler GD, Stapczynski J, Cline DM, Thomas SH. eds. Tintinalli’s Emergency Medicine: A Comprehensive Study Guide, 9th ed. McGraw-Hill.

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Question Of The Day #6

question of the day
sepsis abdominal pain

Which of the following is the most likely cause of this patient’s condition?

This patient is in septic shock due to ascending cholangitis. Shock is a condition where the body is unable to deliver adequate perfusion to meet metabolic demands. Shock is often characterized by multiorgan dysfunction and hemodynamic changes (i.e. tachycardia, hypotension). Ascending cholangitis is a serious diagnosis that carries high mortality without prompt treatment and recognition. Causes of ascending cholangitis include choledocholithiasis, a biliary tract stricture, or compression by malignant disease. Some cases demonstrate Charcot’s Triad (fever, jaundice, right upper quadrant pain) or Reynolds’ Pentad (Charcot’s triad plus shock and altered mental status). This patient meets all 5 criteria of Reynolds’ Pentad. Rather than a gallstone obstructing the biliary tree, this patient has an underlying malignancy that is obstructing biliary outflow (hinted by weight loss and progressive jaundice over 3 months). Treatment includes antibiotics, IV fluids, and surgical management. The elevated white blood cell count, fever, history, and physical exam support the diagnosis of septic shock. Cardiogenic shock (Choice A) would be more likely in a patient with known baseline cardiac disease, a patient complaining of chest pain or shortness of breath, low ejection fraction seen on echocardiogram, and cold distal extremities. Conditions that can cause cardiogenic shock include STEMI, CHF, and myocarditis. Obstructive shock (Choice B) is seen in conditions, such as pulmonary embolism, tension pneumothorax, or cardiac tamponade. The patient’s history and physical do not support this diagnosis. Hypovolemic shock (Choice D) can be caused by severe dehydration or hemorrhagic shock (a type of hypovolemic shock). This patient likely has some component of dehydration, but septic shock is the primary condition in this patient. Septic shock is a form of Distributive shock (Choice C). Anaphylactic shock also is a type of Distributive shock. Correct Answer: C

References

Nicks BA, Gaillard JP. Approach to Nontraumatic Shock. “Chapter 12: Approach to Nontraumatic Shock”. In: Tintinalli JE, Ma O, Yealy DM, Meckler GD, Stapczynski J, Cline DM, Thomas SH. eds. Tintinalli’s Emergency Medicine: A Comprehensive Study Guide, 9th ed. McGraw-Hill.

Donaldson, R. (2020, May 2). Ascending cholangitis. WikEm. https://www.wikem.org/wiki/Ascending_cholangitis

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The Research of Predicting Septic Shock

How computational medicine is changing critical care in 5 questions

Participating in Research

As a new school year approaches, many medical students are opting to take a gap year dedicated to research. This trend is unique for students not in MD/PhD programs in the USA who have a deep interest in understanding and participating in research. A popular emerging field for the future of health care and medicine, known as computational medicine, is become an integral part of patient care. Regardless of location, students, as well as interns and health care professionals around the globe who are interested in emergency and critical care medicine, should consider this unique area of study as a part of their research gap year.

In this blog entry for the International Emergency Medicine Education Project (iEM), I discuss the role of computational medicine in detecting sepsis, one of the most important diagnoses to detect early, with Professor Rai Winslow, Director of the Institute for Computational Medicine at The Johns Hopkins University. As outlined on the Institute’s website, computational medicine “aims to improve health care by developing computational models of disease, personalizing these models using data from patients, and applying these models to improve the diagnosis and treatment of disease.” Patient models are being used to predict and discover novel sensitive and specific risk biomarkers, predict disease progression, design optimal treatments, and discover novel drug targets. Applications include cardiovascular and neurological diseases, cancer, and critical care and emergency medicine (1).

Rai L Winslow, Director Institute for Computational Medicine, The Raj & Neera Singh Professor of Biomedical Engineering, The Johns Hopkins University

How is computational medicine changing critical care?

5 Questions

5 Answers

Why Sepsis

What was the starting point for your work on sepsis and septic shock in adults?

A starting point for my work on sepsis and septic shock was reading a paper that demonstrated how every hour of delayed treatment in patients with septic shock could lead to an eight percent increase in mortality, per hour. That statement really stood out because what it told me was the natural time course of evolution of the disease, and whatever was happening in septic shock, was happening very quickly. Because of this rapid disease progression, this suggested that accurate prediction of those patients with sepsis who would progress to septic shock must be based on data collected from the patient on a time scale of minutes rather than hours. The challenge was that this high-rate data is not routinely collected in hospitals.

Data and algorithms

What live data are the algorithms capturing from patients for studying and understanding sepsis and septic shock?

Today’s electronic health record (EHR) is typically used to store data such as vitals and lab results and clinical observations made at irregular intervals and at low rates. Given the rapid evolution of septic shock, we hypothesized that advanced prediction and early detection of septic shock must be based on data collected at the minute rather than hour time scales. This was the driving interest in developing a novel software platform called PhysioCloud. PhysioCloud captures physiological vital signs data at minute intervals from patient monitors. These data are then stored in a specialized database that is designed to capture large numbers of real-time data streams at high-rate. Data collection also includes waveforms, such as ECG, respiratory rates, and SpO2, sampled at 125 times per second. Nowhere else in the USA that I am aware of, is capturing these physiological data from patients, making them a part of the patient electronic health record. Our algorithm uses these high rate data, as well as low-rate data from the patient EHR, to predict those patients with sepsis who will develop septic shock.

The importance of the transition state to septic shock

Computational medicine and algorithms can be uncomfortable terms for medical students, interns and researchers who do not have experience with it. Simply put, how do research and studies such as this help doctors in emergency medicine and critical care units, in managing their patients?

Everyday critical care and emergency medicine physicians ask two questions of every patient they see: what is the state of my patient?; how will their state change over time? The latter is a prediction problem of the sort that data scientists often confront. In the context of sepsis, the physician would like to know if their patient will at some future time develop septic shock, or will their condition improve. If an algorithm can reliably predict those patients with sepsis who will develop septic shock at some future time point, then physicians will have a window of time in which they can intervene to prevent this transition from happening. Our goal was to develop such an algorithm. To do this, we utilized the obvious fact that if a patient has sepsis and their condition is getting worse and possibly evolving towards septic shock, it means their physiology must be changing over time as they get sicker. We, therefore, decided to develop a “risk score,” a number ranging between 0 and 1 that is the probability that a patient will develop septic shock. This risk score was computed in an optimal way from the minute by minute physiological vital signs data complemented by clinical data from the EHR. If this risk score exceeds a threshold value, then we decide that this patient with sepsis will develop septic shock at some future time point. This approach works very reliably, achieving high sensitivity and specificity. It’s the worlds simplest machine learning method. Predicting the transition from sepsis to septic shock can enable physicians the ability to follow their patients and see how various states are evolving over time, so that they can intervene to deliver earlier care. Right now, this approach is being applied in retrospective studies using patient data. In the future, we plan to compute this risk score in real-time, generating alerts for caregivers when the risk score exceeds threshold signaling that patients are likely to go into septic shock.

Pre-Shock

In a recent publication in Scientific Report (2), the new concept of a pre-shock state was outlined. How was this possible to do?

Our work hypothesized that it was possible to identify the presence of a physiological signature in sepsis patients before the clinical onset of septic shock was diagnosed. We were able to identify a signature to calculate a risk score for the pre-shock state. The changes in variables such as lactate and heart rate are so small; they are still statistically significant, but so small. When discussed with physicians, some say that they would not have noticed it. These variables are changing together in a small way, but the algorithm is able to catch the changes together and compute it into a risk score and make useful predictions. Some of our very new work not published yet shows that post-threshold, changes in patient risk score happen very quickly (30-60 minutes) and are very large. We have shown that the larger the post-threshold risk score, the more reliable is our prediction that the patient will go into shock. Positive predictive value can be as high as 80-90%.

Fluids and Vasopressors

Evidence-based studies and protocols such as the SOFA score (3), Surviving Sepsis Campaigns (4) are listed on the American College of Emergency Physician (ACEP) website (5) as well as the SALT-ED (6) and SMART (7) trials. These are referred to by emergency physicians in the emergency department, and EM residents are trained with these resources. How do these studies tie into computational medicine, machine learning and predictive analysis for developing septic shock?

Our algorithm looked at tens of thousands of patients, and computationally phenotyped them through every minute of data using the international consensus definition of septic shock, and based on early warning times, found clinical ground truth. We also discovered that the Sepsis 2 definition had a property that was temporarily unstable. This is to say that the state of a patient with sepsis as defined by Sepsis 2, was changing all the time, and it was not possible to predict ground truth. With found the Sepsis 3 definitions to be temporarily stable with few state transitions. The major factor was that the criteria in Sepsis 2 had included a diagnosis of SIRS before sepsis was considered as a diagnosis, and it was removed from 3. We believe that SIRS was causing frequent state changes, as an ambiguous diagnosis.

We are able to predict those patients with sepsis who will transition to shock many hours before they go into shock. We are also able to identify distinct temporal patterns of the risk score corresponding to patient populations with high (up to 60%) versus low (10-20%) mortality. For each of these groups, we looked at comorbidities, diagnoses such as kidney failure and cancer, but we do not know what the relationship is or what is different about these patient groups and the fact that they are in the 60% mortality pool. We know their physiology is saying they are in the mortality pool, but not why. What this means is how these patients are being treated could be the issue (physicians with different levels of training, and other factors involved in treatment decisions). In our work, patients were classified into high and low risk. We found that patients in the low risk received vasopressors and adequate fluid resuscitation and for patients in the high-risk pool, fewer had received vasopressors or fluids. The question is, why are these patients not getting these things. Our algorithm to predict the transition to septic shock can positively influence treatment decisions made by many physicians, to confirm the value of treatment and prevent the development of septic shock. We’ve also identified and know the time to look for proteomic and genomic biomarkers for the early predictive shock signature that could correlate with this high risk/these measures are not routinely done clinically, and this line of work could be very helpful in understanding the fundamental biology of the very rapid change in patient state when they cross the risk score threshold.

Thank you to Professor Winslow for taking the time to discuss the research involved in computational medicine and investigating the transition from sepsis to septic shock. In closing, regardless of medical specialty interests, medical students around the globe interested in taking a gap year to gain research skills will find the experience invaluable and will be introduced to new ways of thinking, writing, and understanding the scientific influences on patient management and health care. Research such as this in the USA can also be implemented at international hospitals and remote clinics, to further aid patient care and management. There are many areas of interest in which research is taking place in critical care units and emergency departments, and discovering the technology involved such as machine learning and computational medicine, is a step towards understanding the potential advances in the future of medicine and patient care.

Please feel free to share your own particular research area(s) of interest and pose any questions you may have in the comments section below.

References and Further Reading

  1. The Institute for Computational Medicine (ICM) –  https://icm.jhu.edu/
  2. Liu R, Greenstein JL, Granite SJ, Fackler JC, Bembea MM, Sarma SV, Winslow RL. Data-driven discovery of a novel sepsis pre-shock state predicts impending septic shock in the ICU. Scientific reports. 2019 Apr 16;9(1):6145. – https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-019-42637-5.pdf
  3. Faust J. No SIRS; quick SOFA instead. Annals of Emergency Medicine. 2016 May 1;67(5). – https://www.annemergmed.com/article/S0196-0644(16)00216-X/pdf
  4. Surviving Sepsis Campaign (SSC) – http://www.survivingsepsis.org/Pages/default.aspx
  5. ACEP Statement on SSC Hour-1 Bundle – https://www.acep.org/by-medical-focus/sepsis/
  6. Self WH, Semler MW, Wanderer JP, Wang L, Byrne DW, Collins SP, Slovis CM, Lindsell CJ, Ehrenfeld JM, Siew ED, Shaw AD. Balanced crystalloids versus saline in noncritically ill adults. New England Journal of Medicine. 2018 Mar 1;378(9):819-28. – https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa1711586
  7. Semler MW, Self WH, Wanderer JP, Ehrenfeld JM, Wang L, Byrne DW, Stollings JL, Kumar AB, Hughes CG, Hernandez A, Guillamondegui OD. Balanced crystalloids versus saline in critically ill adults. New England Journal of Medicine. 2018 Mar 1;378(9):829-39. –  https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa1711584
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From Experts to Our Students! – Sepsis